Old Hickory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (11 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 25
Defender wins (American): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 945 | 1078 | 32% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 941 | 1065 | 33% | 2020-01-05 | Lost |
| 1013 | 878 | 69% | 2019-10-10 | Won |
| 1097 | 1173 | 39% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
| 1027 | 939 | 62% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 876 | 1038 | 28% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
| 966 | 1027 | 41% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1236 | 1068 | 72% | 2009-09-12 | Won |
| 1227 | 1283 | 42% | 2009-06-13 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1109 | 40% | 2008-09-28 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1035.7 vs 1059.8 has a 46.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).