Old Hickory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (11 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 25
Defender wins (American): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1073 | 58% | 2020-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2020-01-22 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1029 | 42% | 2020-01-05 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 921 | 63% | 2019-10-10 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1185 | 35% | 2017-03-04 | | Won |
| 1059 | 938 | 67% | 2016-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2015-07-01 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1059 | 36% | 2011-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1153 | 1022 | 68% | 2009-09-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2009-06-13 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2008-09-28 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1033.3 vs 1046.1 has a 48.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).