Apples to Apples
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German (SS)): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2023-12-12 | Won |
| 1223 | 1120 | 64% | 2023-08-04 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1118 | 51% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
| 1037 | 947 | 63% | 2018-07-22 | Won |
| 850 | 873 | 47% | 2015-08-05 | Lost |
| 1121 | 965 | 71% | 2014-04-23 | Won |
| 1022 | 972 | 57% | 2011-04-02 | Lost |
| 971 | 949 | 53% | 2010-09-19 | Lost |
| 972 | 1135 | 28% | 2010-01-02 | Won |
| 1085 | 1233 | 30% | 2009-03-31 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1003 | 57% | 2008-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1041.4 vs 1027 has a 52.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).