Apples to Apples
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German (SS)): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 927 | 56% | 2023-12-12 | Won |
| 1121 | 1110 | 52% | 2023-08-04 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1132 | 54% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
| 1037 | 929 | 65% | 2018-07-22 | Won |
| 847 | 869 | 47% | 2015-08-05 | Lost |
| 1141 | 970 | 73% | 2014-04-23 | Won |
| 1125 | 974 | 70% | 2011-04-02 | Lost |
| 971 | 928 | 56% | 2010-09-19 | Lost |
| 984 | 1058 | 40% | 2010-01-02 | Won |
| 1073 | 1228 | 29% | 2009-03-31 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1041 | 56% | 2008-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1046.5 vs 1015.1 has a 54.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).