Apples to Apples
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German (SS)): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 1124 | 43% | 2023-12-12 | Won |
| 1086 | 1100 | 48% | 2023-08-04 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1133 | 51% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
| 1037 | 939 | 64% | 2018-07-22 | Won |
| 847 | 868 | 47% | 2015-08-05 | Lost |
| 1120 | 979 | 69% | 2014-04-23 | Won |
| 1008 | 974 | 55% | 2011-04-02 | Lost |
| 971 | 931 | 56% | 2010-09-19 | Lost |
| 984 | 982 | 50% | 2010-01-02 | Won |
| 1074 | 1228 | 29% | 2009-03-31 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1069 | 52% | 2008-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1038.7 vs 1029.7 has a 51.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).