A Lesson for Lehr
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (16 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (American): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 1159 | 1142 | 52% | 2022-09-25 | Won |
| 925 | 1263 | 13% | 2018-04-29 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1226 | 51% | 2015-04-14 | Won |
| 965 | 921 | 56% | 2013-12-13 | Lost |
| 965 | 1121 | 29% | 2013-12-11 | Lost |
| 984 | 1056 | 40% | 2013-08-07 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1133 | 50% | 2010-06-13 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1046 | 75% | 2009-06-28 | Won |
| 1005 | 870 | 69% | 2009-04-07 | Lost |
| 967 | 1149 | 26% | 2009-03-25 | Won |
| 1263 | 1087 | 73% | 2009-02-01 | Won |
| 1035 | 1259 | 22% | 2008-10-02 | Won |
| 1120 | 1010 | 65% | 2008-08-22 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1172 | 35% | 2008-07-12 | Lost |
| 1036 | 985 | 57% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1064.7 vs 1086.7 has a 46.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).