Morning's Peril
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (7 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 950 | 48% | 2024-10-01 | Won |
| 926 | 1191 | 18% | 2021-08-05 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1142 | 48% | 2017-03-17 | Lost |
| 987 | 1223 | 20% | 2016-08-28 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1090 | 64% | 2013-12-21 | Won |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2011-11-13 | Lost |
| 1086 | 697 | 90% | 2008-11-15 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1017.9 vs 1055.9 has a 44.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).