Khopka's Crossing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (18 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 68
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 699 | 897 | 24% | 2025-09-14 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2023-11-26 | | Lost |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2019-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 876 | 76% | 2019-03-21 | | Won |
| 1125 | 944 | 74% | 2017-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2016-04-07 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1233 | 20% | 2014-07-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2013-06-15 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 927 | 78% | 2013-06-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2013-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2011-09-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2008-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2008-06-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2008-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2008-04-08 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2008-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 2008-02-17 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1192 | 32% | 2006-04-15 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1037.8 vs 1023.7 has a 52.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).