Pavlov's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 959 | 959 | 50% | 2023-10-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2022-02-22 | Lost |
| 1051 | 999 | 57% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
| 939 | 1067 | 32% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 931 | 1250 | 14% | 2019-07-17 | Lost |
| 874 | 1116 | 20% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
| 874 | 1116 | 20% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
| 933 | 1119 | 26% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
| 1099 | 984 | 66% | 2013-05-11 | Won |
| 1067 | 1143 | 39% | 2013-01-05 | Lost |
| 898 | 927 | 46% | 2012-05-25 | Won |
| 1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2011-08-21 | Lost |
| 1098 | 870 | 79% | 2011-02-03 | Won |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2010-10-01 | Lost |
| 1084 | 939 | 70% | 2010-05-08 | Lost |
| 984 | 982 | 50% | 2010-04-25 | Lost |
| 984 | 982 | 50% | 2010-03-25 | Won |
| 1008 | 879 | 68% | 2008-10-10 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-06-27 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2008-06-11 | Won |
| 1284 | 1030 | 81% | 2008-05-27 | Tied |
| 1045 | 934 | 65% | 2008-01-18 | Won |
| 1118 | 1163 | 44% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1032.1 vs 1037.9 has a 49.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).