Elephants Unleashed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 162 (31 on the archive and 131 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 81
Defender wins (Russian): 81
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1173 | 936 | 80% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 971 | 1158 | 25% | 2021-07-08 | Lost |
| 1030 | 981 | 57% | 2021-05-01 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1149 | 53% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1149 | 53% | 2020-10-31 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1000 | 57% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 1053 | 1014 | 56% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1102 | 45% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1075 | 1116 | 44% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
| 1019 | 994 | 54% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 977 | 1310 | 13% | 2014-05-24 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1141 | 43% | 2014-04-10 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2014-01-17 | Won |
| 1223 | 1047 | 73% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
| 1100 | 1114 | 48% | 2012-08-12 | Won |
| 1112 | 1067 | 56% | 2012-06-11 | Won |
| 1018 | 1000 | 53% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 1069 | 1149 | 39% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1119 | 65% | 2010-03-06 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2010-01-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 1141 | 965 | 73% | 2009-09-23 | Lost |
| 992 | 1400 | 9% | 2009-09-11 | Lost |
| 1141 | 978 | 72% | 2009-06-23 | Won |
| 888 | 1011 | 33% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 1310 | 977 | 87% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
| 1285 | 1310 | 46% | 2008-07-10 | Won |
| 1098 | 984 | 66% | 2008-04-04 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1098 | 49% | 2008-03-08 | Won |
| 1125 | 1141 | 48% | 2007-10-23 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1093.8 vs 1080.6 has a 51.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).