Cavalry Brigade Model
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 8
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 788 | 1000 | 23% | 2020-07-19 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1000 | 53% | 2016-12-01 | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2013-11-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 1043 | 44% | 2013-11-08 | Lost |
| 993 | 1000 | 49% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 809 | 1043 | 21% | 2013-07-02 | Lost |
| 1229 | 1039 | 75% | 2013-05-25 | Lost |
| 1024 | 936 | 62% | 2010-10-08 | Lost |
| 936 | 1000 | 41% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 1016 | 929 | 62% | 2008-01-26 | Won |
| 1015 | 1003 | 52% | 2008-01-26 | Won |
| 1022 | 1018 | 51% | 2008-01-26 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2007-10-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2006-12-23 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 993.8 vs 1002.7 has a 48.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).