Cavalry Brigade Model
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 5
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 902 | 64% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
| 1033 | 927 | 65% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 994 | 1101 | 35% | 2020-07-19 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1030 | 64% | 2016-12-01 | Won |
| 1269 | 1120 | 70% | 2013-11-08 | Won |
| 1116 | 1120 | 49% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1177 | 37% | 2013-05-25 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1069 | 52% | 2010-10-08 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1064 | 51% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1030 | 71% | 2008-01-26 | Won |
| 1086 | 1119 | 45% | 2008-01-26 | Won |
| 1141 | 978 | 72% | 2006-12-23 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1099.9 vs 1053.1 has a 56.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).