Cavalry Brigade Model
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (16 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 29
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 902 | 63% | 2024-03-03 | | Won |
| 1033 | 954 | 61% | 2023-01-26 | A | Lost |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2020-07-19 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2016-12-01 | | Won |
| 1347 | 1136 | 77% | 2013-11-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2013-11-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1136 | 31% | 2013-10-08 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2013-07-02 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1215 | 28% | 2013-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2010-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2008-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2008-01-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2008-01-26 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1077 | 50% | 2008-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2007-10-01 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1031 | 75% | 2006-12-23 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1042.2 vs 1063.2 has a 46.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).