Adolf's Amateurs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1008 | 48% | 2021-02-01 | Won |
| 1125 | 1116 | 51% | 2020-05-09 | Won |
| 977 | 1019 | 44% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 1056 | 985 | 60% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1084 | 1009 | 61% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 925 | 892 | 55% | 2018-01-21 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1014 | 66% | 2017-06-06 | Won |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
| 1014 | 874 | 69% | 2016-12-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-12-04 | Won |
| 1020 | 851 | 73% | 2016-11-04 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-09-18 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-09-18 | Lost |
| 896 | 914 | 47% | 2016-08-11 | Won |
| 1221 | 1218 | 50% | 2016-06-06 | Won |
| 993 | 1158 | 28% | 2015-12-22 | Won |
| 1029 | 1100 | 40% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
| 1056 | 950 | 65% | 2013-05-25 | Lost |
| 998 | 1148 | 30% | 2013-04-04 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1008 | 60% | 2013-02-09 | Lost |
| 908 | 1080 | 27% | 2012-09-14 | Won |
| 1049 | 1087 | 45% | 2008-01-19 | Won |
| 1003 | 1170 | 28% | 2006-10-23 | Lost |
| 931 | 1131 | 24% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1026.3 vs 1019.7 has a 50.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).