Adolf's Amateurs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 113 (26 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 57
Defender wins (Russian): 56
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2021-02-01 | | Won |
| 1073 | 1132 | 42% | 2020-05-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2019-10-12 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 1003 | 60% | 2019-01-01 | | Won |
| 1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-07-28 | | Won |
| 930 | 893 | 55% | 2018-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2017-06-06 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2017-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 847 | 71% | 2016-12-07 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-12-04 | | Won |
| 1061 | 846 | 78% | 2016-11-04 | | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-09-18 | | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-09-18 | | Lost |
| 898 | 919 | 47% | 2016-08-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2016-06-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2015-12-22 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1116 | 39% | 2015-11-14 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 1008 | 60% | 2013-05-25 | | Lost |
| 904 | 1000 | 37% | 2013-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2013-02-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2012-09-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 2008-01-19 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1052 | 63% | 2007-10-02 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2007-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1153 | 34% | 2006-10-23 | | Lost |
| 932 | 1086 | 29% | | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1015.2 vs 1008.2 has a 51.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).