About His Shadowy Sides
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 146 (30 on the archive and 116 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 65
Defender wins (German): 81
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1263 | 1004 | 82% | 2026-02-07 | Won |
| 1052 | 1052 | 50% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2023-11-14 | Won |
| 1028 | 972 | 58% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2021-03-30 | Won |
| 1126 | 953 | 73% | 2020-04-19 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1226 | 34% | 2018-04-08 | Won |
| 1056 | 1010 | 57% | 2018-01-03 | Lost |
| 933 | 1217 | 16% | 2017-11-03 | Lost |
| 1038 | 986 | 57% | 2017-10-11 | Won |
| 943 | 1434 | 6% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 989 | 1263 | 17% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1092 | 51% | 2015-06-20 | Lost |
| 855 | 885 | 46% | 2015-06-18 | Lost |
| 988 | 1038 | 43% | 2015-03-19 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1051 | 54% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1431 | 19% | 2014-02-23 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1071 | 54% | 2013-03-22 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1036 | 60% | 2011-11-12 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1028 | 66% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
| 1108 | 1159 | 43% | 2011-10-24 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2011-09-07 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1070 | 44% | 2010-05-23 | Won |
| 915 | 1097 | 26% | 2009-06-02 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2009-03-07 | Won |
| 997 | 1058 | 41% | 2008-07-23 | Won |
| 1127 | 1197 | 40% | 2008-07-05 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1230 | 23% | 2008-05-23 | Won |
| 1230 | 1019 | 77% | 2007-10-23 | Won |
| 1091 | 992 | 64% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1046.6 vs 1095.6 has a 42.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).