Retreat From Bairak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 913 | 1092 | 26% | 2026-01-31 | Won |
| 1303 | 1264 | 56% | 2025-11-28 | Won |
| 1008 | 1232 | 22% | 2025-10-02 | Lost |
| 991 | 1118 | 32% | 2025-09-06 | Tied |
| 1256 | 943 | 86% | 2025-08-16 | Won |
| 904 | 1252 | 12% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1176 | 28% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 1131 | 1143 | 48% | 2023-04-25 | Won |
| 1151 | 1019 | 68% | 2021-10-10 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1092 | 69% | 2020-12-17 | Won |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 989 | 1045 | 42% | 2020-02-19 | Won |
| 839 | 1059 | 22% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1189 | 25% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 997 | 1058 | 41% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 976 | 1073 | 36% | 2010-01-10 | Lost |
| 976 | 1059 | 38% | 2009-03-20 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1042 | 60% | 2008-06-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2008-01-26 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1017 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1040.3 vs 1094.6 has a 42.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).