Retreat From Bairak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1178 | 28% | 2025-10-02 | Lost |
| 962 | 1123 | 28% | 2025-09-06 | Tied |
| 1281 | 950 | 87% | 2025-08-16 | Won |
| 904 | 1274 | 11% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1177 | 28% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 1113 | 1143 | 46% | 2023-04-25 | Won |
| 1149 | 969 | 74% | 2021-10-10 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1091 | 69% | 2020-12-17 | Won |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1028 | 985 | 56% | 2020-02-19 | Won |
| 840 | 1086 | 20% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1143 | 31% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 997 | 1058 | 41% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 976 | 1082 | 35% | 2010-01-10 | Lost |
| 968 | 1086 | 34% | 2009-03-20 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1096 | 49% | 2008-06-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2008-01-26 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1020 | 59% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1035.9 vs 1082.2 has a 43.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).