The Zebra Mission
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1015 | 57% | 2025-05-09 | Lost |
| 980 | 1135 | 29% | 2025-05-02 | Lost |
| 1020 | 916 | 65% | 2025-05-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
| 1030 | 1093 | 41% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
| 1210 | 1142 | 60% | 2020-09-06 | Won |
| 1028 | 1110 | 38% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1051 | 1096 | 44% | 2017-02-18 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1039 | 60% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 1039 | 1109 | 40% | 2015-03-20 | Won |
| 1102 | 976 | 67% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1151 | 963 | 75% | 2014-05-30 | Won |
| 1039 | 1109 | 40% | 2014-03-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 993 | 65% | 2013-07-21 | Won |
| 1243 | 1020 | 78% | 2011-01-20 | Won |
| 1035 | 1058 | 47% | 2009-03-17 | Won |
| 1106 | 904 | 76% | 2008-04-10 | Won |
| 971 | 1174 | 24% | 2008-02-27 | Lost |
| 1152 | 987 | 72% | 2008-02-24 | Won |
| 1054 | 1014 | 56% | 2008-02-22 | Won |
| 1026 | 1174 | 30% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1219 | 40% | 2007-10-05 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1075.5 vs 1058.9 has a 52.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).