The Zebra Mission
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 988 | 61% | 2025-05-09 | Lost |
| 959 | 1135 | 27% | 2025-05-02 | Lost |
| 1217 | 984 | 79% | 2025-05-02 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
| 1022 | 1070 | 43% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
| 1238 | 1236 | 50% | 2020-09-06 | Won |
| 1097 | 1121 | 47% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 945 | 1100 | 29% | 2017-02-18 | Lost |
| 1143 | 945 | 76% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 945 | 1143 | 24% | 2015-03-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 976 | 58% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1117 | 991 | 67% | 2014-05-30 | Won |
| 945 | 1143 | 24% | 2014-03-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 997 | 64% | 2013-07-21 | Won |
| 1253 | 1019 | 79% | 2011-01-20 | Won |
| 1035 | 1031 | 51% | 2009-03-17 | Won |
| 1102 | 904 | 76% | 2008-04-10 | Won |
| 975 | 1230 | 19% | 2008-02-27 | Lost |
| 1140 | 987 | 71% | 2008-02-24 | Won |
| 1052 | 1070 | 47% | 2008-02-22 | Won |
| 1028 | 1342 | 14% | 2008-01-06 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1230 | 23% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1214 | 40% | 2007-10-05 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1067 vs 1079.7 has a 48.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).