The Zebra Mission
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1014 | 57% | 2025-05-09 | Lost |
| 973 | 1136 | 28% | 2025-05-02 | Lost |
| 982 | 950 | 55% | 2025-05-02 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
| 1029 | 1060 | 46% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
| 1180 | 1174 | 51% | 2020-09-06 | Won |
| 1012 | 1124 | 34% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1024 | 1097 | 40% | 2017-02-18 | Lost |
| 1131 | 979 | 71% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 979 | 1131 | 29% | 2015-03-20 | Won |
| 1072 | 976 | 63% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1109 | 978 | 68% | 2014-05-30 | Won |
| 979 | 1131 | 29% | 2014-03-01 | Lost |
| 1098 | 996 | 64% | 2013-07-21 | Won |
| 1253 | 1019 | 79% | 2011-01-20 | Won |
| 1036 | 1022 | 52% | 2009-03-17 | Won |
| 1103 | 905 | 76% | 2008-04-10 | Won |
| 976 | 1243 | 18% | 2008-02-27 | Lost |
| 1140 | 987 | 71% | 2008-02-24 | Won |
| 1054 | 1068 | 48% | 2008-02-22 | Won |
| 1018 | 1243 | 21% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1216 | 39% | 2007-10-05 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1061.1 vs 1064.8 has a 49.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).