Out of Luck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (17 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 19
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 955 | 50% | 2026-03-11 | Lost |
| 970 | 1133 | 28% | 2025-04-07 | Won |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2025-01-03 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1291 | 29% | 2024-12-18 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1133 | 56% | 2023-02-26 | Won |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 989 | 1068 | 39% | 2020-01-25 | Lost |
| 1133 | 984 | 70% | 2018-01-11 | Lost |
| 960 | 1133 | 27% | 2017-09-19 | Won |
| 960 | 1133 | 27% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1133 | 879 | 81% | 2016-08-24 | Tied |
| 1160 | 1215 | 42% | 2013-10-26 | Lost |
| 982 | 1152 | 27% | 2008-02-23 | Lost |
| 1005 | 870 | 69% | 2007-12-01 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-09-28 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1062.6 vs 1079.2 has a 47.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).