Ghost Riders
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Italian / German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 906 | 1214 | 15% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
| 1069 | 1001 | 60% | 2017-05-07 | Won |
| 1068 | 1209 | 31% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1255 | 43% | 2016-07-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 1081 | 36% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
| 977 | 982 | 49% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
| 931 | 977 | 43% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 1100 | 1091 | 51% | 2012-09-19 | Won |
| 1067 | 1159 | 37% | 2012-06-18 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1053 | 55% | 2010-11-18 | Won |
| 1142 | 987 | 71% | 2008-11-27 | Won |
| 1310 | 1011 | 85% | 2008-09-06 | Lost |
| 1400 | 1114 | 84% | 2008-09-06 | Won |
| 901 | 1099 | 24% | 2008-05-28 | Won |
| 1141 | 1037 | 65% | 2008-05-24 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2008-01-20 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1030 | 59% | 2007-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1086.6 vs 1074.7 has a 51.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).