Village of the Damned
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 217 (66 on the archive and 151 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 100
Defender wins (Italian / German): 117
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 1076 | 47% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2024-10-21 | Lost |
| 978 | 949 | 54% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1142 | 1096 | 57% | 2024-03-30 | Won |
| 1018 | 1040 | 47% | 2024-03-25 | Won |
| 937 | 971 | 45% | 2022-08-21 | Won |
| 1030 | 1109 | 39% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 1028 | 988 | 56% | 2021-10-14 | Lost |
| 944 | 1107 | 28% | 2021-09-12 | Won |
| 1076 | 1164 | 38% | 2021-03-27 | Lost |
| 940 | 1076 | 31% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1227 | 32% | 2020-11-01 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1165 | 57% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 970 | 1029 | 42% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1213 | 738 | 94% | 2020-10-02 | Won |
| 1216 | 869 | 88% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 1060 | 1139 | 39% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1009 | 53% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1012 | 50% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
| 984 | 949 | 55% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1213 | 1067 | 70% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2020-03-11 | Lost |
| 876 | 1018 | 31% | 2020-02-10 | Lost |
| 978 | 1347 | 11% | 2019-10-11 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1044 | 52% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1123 | 41% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 881 | 1060 | 26% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-04-22 | Lost |
| 1174 | 876 | 85% | 2018-04-09 | Lost |
| 1140 | 972 | 72% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1077 | 50% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1086 | 999 | 62% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 876 | 975 | 36% | 2015-12-05 | Won |
| 875 | 1038 | 28% | 2015-03-23 | Won |
| 876 | 975 | 36% | 2014-09-20 | Lost |
| 982 | 907 | 61% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1033 | 1079 | 43% | 2014-06-13 | Lost |
| 984 | 964 | 53% | 2012-09-05 | Won |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2012-08-12 | Lost |
| 880 | 959 | 39% | 2012-06-01 | Lost |
| 880 | 959 | 39% | 2012-06-01 | Lost |
| 966 | 959 | 51% | 2012-02-28 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1233 | 25% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 1006 | 1008 | 50% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 876 | 1143 | 18% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1019 | 63% | 2011-06-22 | Lost |
| 876 | 1143 | 18% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1012 | 50% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1233 | 32% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 876 | 1146 | 17% | 2010-10-01 | Lost |
| 1004 | 996 | 51% | 2009-12-20 | Won |
| 1046 | 1010 | 55% | 2009-12-04 | Lost |
| 987 | 881 | 65% | 2009-05-22 | Won |
| 876 | 1073 | 24% | 2009-02-05 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1342 | 28% | 2008-06-19 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1132 | 64% | 2008-04-03 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2008-02-19 | Won |
| 1167 | 1137 | 54% | 2007-11-11 | Lost |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2007-11-06 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1180 | 27% | 2007-10-26 | Lost |
| 1077 | 998 | 61% | 2007-10-03 | Won |
| 1234 | 1140 | 63% | 2007-09-20 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2007-09-05 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2007-08-26 | Lost |
| 1067 | 956 | 65% | 2007-08-10 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1078 | 41% | | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1030.8 vs 1056.4 has a 46.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).