Dubrovka
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 1081 | 40% | 2024-08-30 | Won |
| 879 | 970 | 37% | 2024-08-22 | Won |
| 1014 | 1040 | 46% | 2024-08-19 | Won |
| 970 | 999 | 46% | 2024-08-17 | Lost |
| 1142 | 999 | 69% | 2024-08-17 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1175 | 50% | 2024-08-11 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1200 | 45% | 2024-07-28 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1089 | 48% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1111 | 57% | 2021-02-06 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1018 | 51% | 2020-06-21 | Won |
| 1004 | 1019 | 48% | 2020-05-08 | Lost |
| 756 | 986 | 21% | 2020-01-20 | Lost |
| 986 | 756 | 79% | 2019-07-19 | Won |
| 1120 | 1081 | 56% | 2018-11-22 | Won |
| 1081 | 1046 | 55% | 2018-11-02 | Lost |
| 1140 | 975 | 72% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
| 1121 | 1054 | 60% | 2018-10-20 | Lost |
| 975 | 1079 | 35% | 2018-07-10 | Lost |
| 916 | 1045 | 32% | 2018-07-01 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1158 | 50% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2016-03-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1228 | 31% | 2014-02-19 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1194 | 58% | 2011-09-01 | Won |
| 1075 | 969 | 65% | 2009-08-25 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1060.6 vs 1060.2 has a 50.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).