Dubrovka
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 11
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 941 | 969 | 46% | 2024-08-22 | Won |
| 1024 | 1042 | 47% | 2024-08-19 | Won |
| 973 | 996 | 47% | 2024-08-17 | Lost |
| 920 | 1169 | 19% | 2024-08-11 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1141 | 52% | 2024-07-28 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1031 | 57% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1038 | 61% | 2021-02-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 944 | 60% | 2020-06-21 | Won |
| 1004 | 1015 | 48% | 2020-05-08 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1120 | 49% | 2018-11-22 | Won |
| 1120 | 1005 | 66% | 2018-11-02 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1038 | 62% | 2018-10-20 | Lost |
| 976 | 1116 | 31% | 2018-07-10 | Lost |
| 917 | 1069 | 29% | 2018-07-01 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1158 | 50% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2016-03-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1228 | 31% | 2014-02-19 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1194 | 66% | 2011-09-01 | Won |
| 1008 | 963 | 56% | 2009-08-25 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1061.5 vs 1071 has a 48.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).