Dubrovka
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (24 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 24
Defender wins (Russian): 34
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1080 | 44% | 2024-08-30 | | Won |
| 841 | 970 | 32% | 2024-08-22 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2024-08-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2024-08-17 | | Lost |
| 1092 | 989 | 64% | 2024-08-17 | D | Lost |
| 1000 | 1182 | 26% | 2024-08-11 | A | Lost |
| 1000 | 1252 | 19% | 2024-07-28 | D | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2022-07-16 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1056 | 61% | 2021-02-06 | | Lost |
| 1174 | 959 | 78% | 2020-06-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 993 | 51% | 2020-05-08 | | Lost |
| 692 | 990 | 15% | 2020-01-20 | | Lost |
| 990 | 692 | 85% | 2019-07-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2018-11-22 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2018-11-02 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 987 | 71% | 2018-11-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2018-10-20 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1085 | 36% | 2018-07-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2018-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2018-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2016-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2014-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2011-09-01 | | Won |
| 1090 | 970 | 67% | 2009-08-25 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1023.3 vs 1039.7 has a 47.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).