Dubrovka
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1079 | 43% | 2024-08-30 | Won |
| 889 | 970 | 39% | 2024-08-22 | Won |
| 1032 | 1039 | 49% | 2024-08-19 | Won |
| 969 | 1017 | 43% | 2024-08-17 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1017 | 67% | 2024-08-17 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1207 | 50% | 2024-08-11 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1128 | 55% | 2024-07-28 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1073 | 50% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1105 | 60% | 2021-02-06 | Lost |
| 997 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-06-21 | Won |
| 1004 | 1019 | 48% | 2020-05-08 | Lost |
| 756 | 978 | 22% | 2020-01-20 | Lost |
| 978 | 756 | 78% | 2019-07-19 | Won |
| 1123 | 1110 | 52% | 2018-11-22 | Won |
| 1110 | 1048 | 59% | 2018-11-02 | Lost |
| 1151 | 930 | 78% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
| 1120 | 1055 | 59% | 2018-10-20 | Lost |
| 930 | 1148 | 22% | 2018-07-10 | Lost |
| 917 | 1010 | 37% | 2018-07-01 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1158 | 50% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2016-03-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1228 | 31% | 2014-02-19 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1194 | 70% | 2011-09-01 | Won |
| 1073 | 962 | 65% | 2009-08-25 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1066.7 vs 1058.8 has a 51.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).