Sherman Marches West
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 114 (58 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 35
Defender wins (German): 77
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1059 | 942 | 66% | 2026-08-22 | | Lost |
| 939 | 1000 | 41% | 2024-12-13 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2024-10-26 | | Won |
| 1045 | 1174 | 32% | 2024-08-16 | | Lost |
| 1290 | 1000 | 84% | 2024-05-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2023-06-05 | A | Lost |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2022-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2022-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1201 | 1000 | 76% | 2022-05-10 | | Won |
| 979 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-03-07 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1092 | 42% | 2022-02-27 | | Lost |
| 978 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-11-25 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-02-24 | | Won |
| 890 | 989 | 36% | 2021-02-20 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-02-09 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-02-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1431 | 8% | 2021-01-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2020-11-25 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1258 | 18% | 2020-11-13 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-07-26 | | Lost |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2020-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2019-11-20 | | Lost |
| 932 | 1172 | 20% | 2019-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2019-10-06 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2019-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2019-06-10 | | Won |
| 966 | 1053 | 38% | 2018-10-25 | | Lost |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2017-12-23 | | Won |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2017-12-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2017-01-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2017-01-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2016-08-14 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1044 | 44% | 2016-03-07 | | Won |
| 885 | 926 | 44% | 2015-12-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 850 | 70% | 2015-08-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1220 | 22% | 2015-08-23 | | Won |
| 978 | 1215 | 20% | 2015-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1116 | 1035 | 61% | 2014-12-15 | | Lost |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2014-08-05 | | Lost |
| 975 | 1000 | 46% | 2013-06-16 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2013-04-05 | | Won |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2013-01-04 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2012-08-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2012-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 959 | 56% | 2012-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1215 | 885 | 87% | 2011-12-22 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2010-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2009-06-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 896 | 65% | 2008-12-12 | | Lost |
| 1078 | 1000 | 61% | 2008-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2008-02-18 | | Tied |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2007-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2007-04-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2007-04-16 | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1022.1 vs 1027.2 has a 49.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).