Big, Bad, Gun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (11 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 40
Defender wins (Italian): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 1333 | 10% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 987 | 1142 | 29% | 2014-03-29 | Won |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2011-07-16 | Won |
| 1060 | 1127 | 40% | 2009-09-25 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1112 | 56% | 2008-09-19 | Won |
| 996 | 937 | 58% | 2008-04-25 | Lost |
| 986 | 1157 | 27% | 2007-12-01 | Lost |
| 1416 | 1147 | 82% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1333 | 21% | 2007-09-08 | Won |
| 1416 | 982 | 92% | 2007-03-31 | Won |
| 1333 | 917 | 92% | 2007-02-23 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1123.8 vs 1104.9 has a 52.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).