Big, Bad, Gun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (13 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 41
Defender wins (Italian): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2026-06-04 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1219 | 17% | 2020-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1230 | 21% | 2014-03-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 967 | 55% | 2011-07-16 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1167 | 35% | 2009-09-25 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2008-09-19 | | Won |
| 996 | 1117 | 33% | 2008-04-25 | | Lost |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2007-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1435 | 1000 | 92% | 2007-09-08 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1219 | 26% | 2007-09-08 | | Won |
| 1435 | 973 | 93% | 2007-03-31 | | Won |
| 1219 | 862 | 89% | 2007-02-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2007-01-27 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1096.5 vs 1073.2 has a 53.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).