Hamburg on the Lovat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (10 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 26
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1066 | 909 | 71% | 2026-01-18 | Won |
| 960 | 960 | 50% | 2024-10-25 | Lost |
| 1026 | 993 | 55% | 2024-05-11 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1006 | 50% | 2023-02-12 | Won |
| 1164 | 1263 | 36% | 2023-02-12 | Lost |
| 982 | 1060 | 39% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
| 1022 | 1131 | 35% | 2018-10-07 | Lost |
| 974 | 1157 | 26% | 2007-03-24 | Lost |
| 967 | 1099 | 32% | 2006-06-17 | Won |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2006-03-08 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1015.8 vs 1073.6 has a 41.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).