Hamburg on the Lovat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 909 | 72% | 2026-01-18 | | Won |
| 997 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-10-25 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 992 | 60% | 2024-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 992 | 62% | 2023-02-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2023-02-12 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2020-04-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2018-10-07 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1000 | 46% | 2007-03-24 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2006-06-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1131 | 32% | 2006-03-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1017.5 vs 1039 has a 46.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).