Hamburg on the Lovat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (9 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 26
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1066 | 909 | 71% | 2026-01-18 | Won |
| 1013 | 1021 | 49% | 2024-10-25 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1006 | 51% | 2023-02-12 | Won |
| 1166 | 1263 | 36% | 2023-02-12 | Lost |
| 981 | 1058 | 39% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
| 980 | 1130 | 30% | 2018-10-07 | Lost |
| 974 | 1155 | 26% | 2007-03-24 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1099 | 42% | 2006-06-17 | Won |
| 995 | 1243 | 19% | 2006-03-08 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1025.3 vs 1098.2 has a 39.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).