Shelling the Sivash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (12 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German/Romanian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 960 | 62% | 2024-12-30 | Won |
| 1014 | 1038 | 47% | 2015-06-29 | Lost |
| 1121 | 998 | 67% | 2013-04-26 | Won |
| 952 | 1121 | 27% | 2011-08-22 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2011-03-15 | Lost |
| 948 | 1158 | 23% | 2009-05-10 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1062 | 63% | 2009-04-10 | Lost |
| 1092 | 967 | 67% | 2009-02-01 | Won |
| 1034 | 1022 | 52% | 2008-07-26 | Won |
| 1062 | 1049 | 52% | 2008-05-30 | Won |
| 1430 | 1234 | 76% | 2007-01-15 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1234 | 26% | 2007-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1084.2 vs 1078.7 has a 50.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).