Shelling the Sivash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (12 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German/Romanian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 947 | 63% | 2024-12-30 | Won |
| 1006 | 1035 | 46% | 2015-06-29 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1000 | 72% | 2013-04-26 | Won |
| 976 | 1162 | 26% | 2011-08-22 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2011-03-15 | Lost |
| 947 | 1141 | 25% | 2009-05-10 | Lost |
| 1141 | 999 | 69% | 2009-04-10 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1123 | 46% | 2009-02-01 | Won |
| 1025 | 1070 | 44% | 2008-07-26 | Won |
| 999 | 1047 | 43% | 2008-05-30 | Won |
| 1416 | 1333 | 62% | 2007-01-15 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1333 | 17% | 2007-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1079.6 vs 1107.5 has a 45.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).