Shelling the Sivash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (12 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German/Romanian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 953 | 51% | 2024-12-30 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-06-29 | Lost |
| 933 | 1000 | 40% | 2013-04-26 | Won |
| 966 | 933 | 55% | 2011-08-22 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1101 | 53% | 2011-03-15 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1041 | 48% | 2009-05-10 | Lost |
| 1041 | 913 | 68% | 2009-04-10 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1119 | 43% | 2009-02-01 | Won |
| 1073 | 993 | 61% | 2008-07-26 | Won |
| 913 | 1016 | 36% | 2008-05-30 | Won |
| 1284 | 1049 | 79% | 2007-01-15 | Lost |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2007-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1031.7 vs 1013.9 has a 52.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).