Shelling the Sivash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (12 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German/Romanian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 973 | 60% | 2024-12-30 | Won |
| 1006 | 1035 | 46% | 2015-06-29 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1001 | 65% | 2013-04-26 | Won |
| 973 | 1110 | 31% | 2011-08-22 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2011-03-15 | Lost |
| 947 | 1213 | 18% | 2009-05-10 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1038 | 73% | 2009-04-10 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1109 | 48% | 2009-02-01 | Won |
| 1025 | 1089 | 41% | 2008-07-26 | Won |
| 1038 | 1047 | 49% | 2008-05-30 | Won |
| 1419 | 1340 | 61% | 2007-01-15 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1340 | 16% | 2007-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1084.6 vs 1116.3 has a 45.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).