Shelling the Sivash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (12 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German/Romanian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 1149 | 28% | 2024-12-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2015-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2013-04-26 | | Won |
| 967 | 1126 | 29% | 2011-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2011-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1214 | 23% | 2009-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1214 | 1031 | 74% | 2009-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2009-02-01 | | Won |
| 1034 | 1090 | 42% | 2008-07-26 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2008-05-30 | | Won |
| 1435 | 1219 | 78% | 2007-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2007-01-15 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1065.9 vs 1102 has a 44.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).