Transylvania 6-5000
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 153 (36 on the archive and 117 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian): 79
Defender wins (Russian): 74
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2025-11-28 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1162 | 62% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 887 | 1045 | 29% | 2025-11-07 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1018 | 67% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2025-09-12 | Won |
| 1186 | 1248 | 41% | 2025-07-01 | Lost |
| 930 | 1101 | 27% | 2025-05-20 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1180 | 31% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 1029 | 1062 | 45% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 969 | 1142 | 27% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 962 | 1089 | 32% | 2023-10-26 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1147 | 54% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1223 | 1026 | 76% | 2021-07-10 | Won |
| 989 | 890 | 64% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 991 | 1144 | 29% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
| 941 | 999 | 42% | 2019-08-10 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1079 | 41% | 2019-04-30 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1014 | 59% | 2019-04-22 | Won |
| 1041 | 1000 | 56% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
| 1038 | 969 | 60% | 2015-06-25 | Lost |
| 959 | 1007 | 43% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1226 | 999 | 79% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 986 | 1147 | 28% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 1126 | 1098 | 54% | 2011-01-27 | Won |
| 1032 | 1423 | 10% | 2010-07-15 | Lost |
| 1007 | 981 | 54% | 2009-11-07 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1140 | 47% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
| 1252 | 937 | 86% | 2007-05-12 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2007-04-10 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2007-04-03 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1041 | 53% | 2007-03-28 | Won |
| 959 | 959 | 50% | 2007-02-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1036 | 42% | 2006-11-29 | Lost |
| 1073 | 955 | 66% | 2006-11-24 | Won |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2006-10-26 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1060.6 vs 1048 has a 51.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).