Transylvania 6-5000
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 130 (24 on the archive and 106 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian): 69
Defender wins (Russian): 61
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 982 | 1158 | 27% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 996 | 1031 | 45% | 2023-10-26 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1146 | 48% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1086 | 1058 | 54% | 2021-07-10 | Won |
| 977 | 891 | 62% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
| 919 | 998 | 39% | 2019-08-10 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1116 | 35% | 2019-04-30 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1009 | 65% | 2019-04-22 | Won |
| 1015 | 944 | 60% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
| 1038 | 984 | 58% | 2015-06-25 | Lost |
| 959 | 1001 | 44% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1001 | 78% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 987 | 1146 | 29% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 1167 | 982 | 74% | 2011-01-27 | Won |
| 1031 | 1400 | 11% | 2010-07-15 | Lost |
| 1001 | 980 | 53% | 2009-11-07 | Lost |
| 1310 | 931 | 90% | 2007-05-12 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2007-04-10 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2007-04-03 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1015 | 57% | 2007-03-28 | Won |
| 1011 | 1002 | 51% | 2007-02-01 | Won |
| 959 | 1030 | 40% | 2006-11-29 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1050.7 vs 1051.4 has a 49.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).