Városmajor Grange
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (24 on the archive and 85 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/Hungarian): 52
Defender wins (Russian): 57
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 922 | 1141 | 22% | 2023-07-30 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1017 | 50% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1059 | 49% | 2023-01-10 | Won |
| 979 | 847 | 68% | 2022-12-10 | Lost |
| 1073 | 970 | 64% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 1141 | 1162 | 47% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1141 | 1241 | 36% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1199 | 910 | 84% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1058 | 65% | 2020-06-30 | Won |
| 1058 | 931 | 68% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 1015 | 1080 | 41% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2020-05-06 | Won |
| 1008 | 906 | 64% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
| 1007 | 1039 | 45% | 2018-06-25 | Lost |
| 1266 | 977 | 84% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
| 906 | 1009 | 36% | 2016-10-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 875 | 65% | 2016-10-04 | Lost |
| 917 | 987 | 40% | 2012-11-25 | Won |
| 959 | 1029 | 40% | 2008-07-08 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1031 | 64% | 2007-06-11 | Won |
| 960 | 1170 | 23% | 2007-04-10 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2007-03-29 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2007-03-29 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1131 | 36% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1046.7 vs 1035.2 has a 51.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).