Városmajor Grange
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 111 (25 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/Hungarian): 53
Defender wins (Russian): 58
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 895 | 1143 | 19% | 2023-07-30 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1032 | 51% | 2023-01-10 | Won |
| 979 | 941 | 55% | 2022-12-10 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 1143 | 1190 | 43% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1143 | 1177 | 45% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1138 | 930 | 77% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1099 | 59% | 2020-06-30 | Won |
| 1099 | 931 | 72% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 1017 | 1029 | 48% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2020-05-06 | Won |
| 1008 | 950 | 58% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
| 903 | 1040 | 31% | 2018-06-25 | Lost |
| 1281 | 985 | 85% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
| 907 | 996 | 37% | 2016-10-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 876 | 65% | 2016-10-04 | Lost |
| 917 | 986 | 40% | 2012-11-25 | Won |
| 982 | 1034 | 43% | 2008-07-08 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1031 | 59% | 2007-06-11 | Won |
| 1068 | 1079 | 48% | 2007-04-15 | Won |
| 954 | 1178 | 22% | 2007-04-10 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2007-03-29 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2007-03-29 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1083 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1041.6 vs 1038.4 has a 50.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).