Városmajor Grange
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 112 (26 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/Hungarian): 53
Defender wins (Russian): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 901 | 1205 | 15% | 2023-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1097 | 38% | 2023-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2023-01-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2022-12-10 | | Lost |
| 1139 | 949 | 75% | 2022-11-28 | | Won |
| 1205 | 1110 | 63% | 2021-06-20 | | Won |
| 1205 | 1149 | 58% | 2021-06-20 | | Won |
| 1143 | 961 | 74% | 2020-10-29 | | Lost |
| 1130 | 1133 | 50% | 2020-06-30 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2020-05-15 | | Won |
| 992 | 1008 | 48% | 2020-05-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2020-05-06 | | Won |
| 1009 | 980 | 54% | 2020-04-30 | | Won |
| 1034 | 1126 | 37% | 2020-04-26 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1039 | 37% | 2018-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1273 | 1000 | 83% | 2017-02-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1002 | 50% | 2016-10-16 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2016-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2012-11-25 | | Won |
| 982 | 1035 | 42% | 2008-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-06-11 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2007-04-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1131 | 32% | 2007-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2007-03-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2007-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1086 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1050.8 vs 1040.2 has a 51.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).