Broken Beek
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (18 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (American): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 965 | 57% | 2024-01-24 | Lost |
| 971 | 1028 | 42% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1083 | 1244 | 28% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1025 | 51% | 2023-03-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1136 | 47% | 2023-02-19 | Lost |
| 902 | 1194 | 16% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1031 | 64% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1072 | 976 | 63% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1072 | 1133 | 41% | 2014-05-27 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1136 | 46% | 2013-04-11 | Lost |
| 903 | 1037 | 32% | 2009-04-04 | Won |
| 1228 | 1018 | 77% | 2008-10-26 | Won |
| 1083 | 997 | 62% | 2008-08-07 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1100 | 37% | 2008-01-15 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-01-15 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1340 | 25% | 2007-03-02 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1419 | 39% | 2007-02-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1058 | 58% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1079.2 vs 1107.6 has a 45.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).