Broken Beek
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (19 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (American): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 966 | 52% | 2024-01-24 | Lost |
| 952 | 1056 | 35% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1085 | 1253 | 28% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1039 | 47% | 2023-03-01 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1136 | 49% | 2023-02-19 | Lost |
| 920 | 1063 | 31% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1015 | 66% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1052 | 976 | 61% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1052 | 1133 | 39% | 2014-05-27 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1142 | 47% | 2013-04-11 | Lost |
| 1343 | 1055 | 84% | 2010-11-12 | Lost |
| 900 | 1061 | 28% | 2009-04-04 | Won |
| 1233 | 1017 | 78% | 2008-10-26 | Won |
| 1085 | 968 | 66% | 2008-08-07 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1101 | 42% | 2008-01-15 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2008-01-15 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1234 | 40% | 2007-03-02 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1430 | 24% | 2007-02-01 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1056 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1083.1 vs 1094.8 has a 48.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).