Road Kill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (21 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1158 | 44% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
| 1026 | 1013 | 52% | 2024-06-03 | Won |
| 969 | 1117 | 30% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1024 | 993 | 54% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1191 | 37% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1204 | 35% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 868 | 982 | 34% | 2021-11-20 | Tied |
| 980 | 1130 | 30% | 2021-11-20 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 970 | 1068 | 36% | 2018-05-11 | Lost |
| 1078 | 892 | 74% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 959 | 1174 | 22% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 941 | 56% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 1253 | 1056 | 76% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 969 | 1058 | 37% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1180 | 31% | 2014-07-27 | Lost |
| 941 | 1058 | 34% | 2011-03-06 | Lost |
| 904 | 903 | 50% | 2009-10-14 | Won |
| 1236 | 1068 | 72% | 2009-04-28 | Won |
| 980 | 1002 | 47% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2008-11-30 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1024.5 vs 1063.9 has a 44.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).