Road Kill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (20 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 44
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 931 | 954 | 47% | 2024-06-03 | Won |
| 984 | 1099 | 34% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1084 | 1008 | 61% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1129 | 47% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1173 | 41% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1074 | 53% | 2021-11-20 | Tied |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2021-11-20 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1044 | 50% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 958 | 1038 | 39% | 2018-05-11 | Lost |
| 944 | 891 | 58% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 958 | 1141 | 26% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 986 | 919 | 60% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 1310 | 1031 | 83% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 984 | 1056 | 40% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1276 | 22% | 2014-07-27 | Lost |
| 983 | 1008 | 46% | 2011-03-06 | Lost |
| 901 | 900 | 50% | 2009-10-14 | Won |
| 1141 | 978 | 72% | 2009-04-28 | Won |
| 1014 | 929 | 62% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2008-11-30 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1034.3 vs 1045.2 has a 48.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).