Prussia in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 780 | 1097 | 14% | 2024-09-13 | | Lost |
| 944 | 1023 | 39% | 2024-04-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2021-03-06 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1018 | 68% | 2020-10-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 880 | 67% | 2020-09-20 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2011-10-07 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2007-02-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2007-02-06 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1101 | 25% | 2007-01-20 | | Won |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2007-01-02 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2006-11-26 | | Lost |
| 1052 | 1226 | 27% | 2006-10-28 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1030.6 vs 1029.3 has a 50.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).