Marders not Martyrs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 219 (52 on the archive and 167 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 105
Defender wins (German): 113
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2024-09-08 | Won |
| 932 | 1037 | 35% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1234 | 22% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1042 | 47% | 2023-10-29 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1128 | 41% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1220 | 900 | 86% | 2023-02-19 | Won |
| 1431 | 925 | 95% | 2022-03-31 | Won |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 944 | 1164 | 22% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
| 1102 | 904 | 76% | 2021-08-09 | Lost |
| 950 | 1070 | 33% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1058 | 1081 | 47% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 1013 | 1002 | 52% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1213 | 42% | 2019-07-06 | Won |
| 961 | 988 | 46% | 2016-12-31 | Lost |
| 999 | 1060 | 41% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 999 | 1060 | 41% | 2016-06-02 | Lost |
| 999 | 1060 | 41% | 2016-01-15 | Lost |
| 1060 | 999 | 59% | 2016-01-12 | Lost |
| 1022 | 984 | 55% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1022 | 984 | 55% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 923 | 984 | 41% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1135 | 982 | 71% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1022 | 65% | 2013-01-08 | Won |
| 1131 | 1022 | 65% | 2013-01-07 | Won |
| 1060 | 1031 | 54% | 2012-12-01 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2012-08-15 | Won |
| 967 | 994 | 46% | 2012-01-04 | Won |
| 1121 | 1026 | 63% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 940 | 884 | 58% | 2011-06-20 | Won |
| 949 | 1024 | 39% | 2010-09-07 | Lost |
| 953 | 1005 | 43% | 2010-08-23 | Lost |
| 920 | 916 | 51% | 2010-08-15 | Won |
| 996 | 1085 | 37% | 2010-06-13 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-03-20 | Tied |
| 982 | 1013 | 46% | 2008-09-02 | Won |
| 1085 | 960 | 67% | 2007-10-28 | Won |
| 1024 | 1133 | 35% | 2007-10-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 1158 | 29% | 2007-10-28 | Won |
| 1180 | 1233 | 42% | 2007-10-17 | Lost |
| 987 | 1085 | 36% | 2007-09-18 | Won |
| 1083 | 1208 | 33% | 2007-06-20 | Won |
| 1080 | 1190 | 35% | 2007-02-16 | Won |
| 1036 | 1185 | 30% | 2006-12-02 | Won |
| 1054 | 1099 | 44% | 2006-11-24 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2006-11-14 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-11-14 | Won |
| 1091 | 1036 | 58% | 2006-09-30 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1044 | 44% | 2006-09-15 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2006-09-07 | Lost |
| 969 | 1031 | 41% | 2006-09-05 | Won |
| 892 | 1034 | 31% | 2006-08-23 | Won |
Attacking (31 wins) average ELOs: 1033 vs 1055.1 has a 46.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).