Lenin's Sons
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 36
Defender wins (Russian): 38
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1192 | 1192 | 50% | 2024-10-22 | Lost |
| 1141 | 978 | 72% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 1293 | 1310 | 48% | 2024-03-23 | Lost |
| 971 | 1013 | 44% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1045 | 46% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 980 | 970 | 51% | 2023-11-16 | Lost |
| 1007 | 837 | 73% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 996 | 982 | 52% | 2023-09-05 | Won |
| 1057 | 969 | 62% | 2023-08-14 | Lost |
| 976 | 1074 | 36% | 2023-06-24 | Lost |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-06-22 | Lost |
| 1074 | 881 | 75% | 2023-06-19 | Won |
| 1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2023-04-30 | Won |
| 1089 | 1124 | 45% | 2023-04-01 | Won |
| 1431 | 954 | 94% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 1130 | 1069 | 59% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2022-02-17 | Won |
| 1074 | 970 | 65% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 939 | 983 | 44% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 1003 | 1214 | 23% | 2021-09-06 | Won |
| 981 | 1053 | 40% | 2021-07-28 | Lost |
| 992 | 1165 | 27% | 2021-07-26 | Lost |
| 936 | 1005 | 40% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 956 | 1014 | 42% | 2021-01-31 | Won |
| 931 | 954 | 47% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1031 | 967 | 59% | 2020-08-27 | Won |
| 1031 | 1044 | 48% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 977 | 1053 | 39% | 2020-01-02 | Lost |
| 968 | 969 | 50% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1214 | 35% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 955 | 1046 | 37% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 620 | 881 | 18% | 2019-07-04 | Won |
| 1046 | 910 | 69% | 2019-04-14 | Lost |
| 995 | 1046 | 43% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1084 | 1009 | 61% | 2018-05-20 | Won |
| 1100 | 958 | 69% | 2018-03-25 | Won |
| 1120 | 982 | 69% | 2018-01-23 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1242 | 26% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
| 1098 | 1119 | 47% | 2017-09-02 | Lost |
| 1047 | 931 | 66% | 2017-08-11 | Won |
| 931 | 1057 | 33% | 2017-07-08 | Won |
| 1142 | 1310 | 28% | 2017-02-06 | Lost |
| 1018 | 952 | 59% | 2017-01-31 | Lost |
| 1125 | 999 | 67% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1015 | 1159 | 30% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1014 | 56% | 2015-08-19 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1030 | 46% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1073 | 69% | 2014-10-08 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1145 | 41% | 2014-04-29 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1010 | 50% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
| 747 | 697 | 57% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1008 | 697 | 86% | 2011-10-15 | Lost |
| 931 | 1009 | 39% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 996 | 1008 | 48% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1011 | 1029 | 47% | 2011-04-22 | Won |
| 1011 | 1056 | 44% | 2011-04-16 | Won |
| 1014 | 982 | 55% | 2010-02-12 | Won |
| 1100 | 1202 | 36% | 2009-12-11 | Won |
| 1001 | 823 | 74% | 2009-07-16 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2009-03-20 | Won |
| 979 | 1310 | 13% | 2008-06-09 | Lost |
| 984 | 999 | 48% | 2007-07-07 | Won |
| 1010 | 1141 | 32% | 2007-04-28 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1074 | 47% | 2007-03-08 | Won |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-01-27 | Lost |
| 1001 | 958 | 56% | 2006-12-09 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1228 | 23% | 2006-11-30 | Won |
| 881 | 1141 | 18% | 2006-10-28 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1030 | 48% | 2006-10-03 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-09-13 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2006-09-13 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2006-09-12 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-09-07 | Lost |
| 940 | 1042 | 36% | 2006-08-13 | Lost |
Attacking (36 wins) average ELOs: 1040.3 vs 1041.9 has a 49.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).