The Yelnya Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 159 (41 on the archive and 118 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 90
Defender wins (Russian): 69
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1178 | 1008 | 73% | 2026-01-24 | Won |
| 1196 | 1032 | 72% | 2026-01-23 | Won |
| 1146 | 982 | 72% | 2026-01-23 | Won |
| 1118 | 1135 | 48% | 2025-04-04 | Won |
| 1068 | 1178 | 35% | 2024-08-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 963 | 57% | 2023-11-16 | Won |
| 1067 | 951 | 66% | 2023-08-28 | Won |
| 1174 | 1105 | 60% | 2023-01-27 | Won |
| 1000 | 978 | 53% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1274 | 31% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
| 953 | 1090 | 31% | 2021-02-09 | Lost |
| 948 | 986 | 45% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1281 | 34% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
| 962 | 975 | 48% | 2018-10-14 | Won |
| 1190 | 1216 | 46% | 2018-03-11 | Won |
| 1177 | 1216 | 44% | 2018-03-11 | Won |
| 1138 | 1013 | 67% | 2018-01-14 | Lost |
| 1099 | 977 | 67% | 2015-04-03 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1011 | 62% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1150 | 33% | 2014-09-26 | Won |
| 1060 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-07-15 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1117 | 45% | 2013-06-18 | Won |
| 1072 | 1064 | 51% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 1109 | 969 | 69% | 2012-05-22 | Won |
| 1029 | 1016 | 52% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1099 | 986 | 66% | 2010-09-03 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2009-03-02 | Won |
| 1228 | 1147 | 61% | 2008-10-26 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1012 | 60% | 2008-10-07 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2008-09-11 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1036 | 53% | 2008-01-15 | Won |
| 1010 | 1021 | 48% | 2007-11-11 | Lost |
| 1095 | 986 | 65% | 2007-07-16 | Won |
| 1203 | 1067 | 69% | 2007-02-16 | Won |
| 981 | 1100 | 34% | 2007-01-20 | Lost |
| 984 | 1068 | 38% | 2006-11-24 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-10-19 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-10-19 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2006-10-12 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2006-10-03 | Won |
| 969 | 1034 | 41% | 2006-09-19 | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1083.1 vs 1068.1 has a 52.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).