42nd Street
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (9 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 11
Defender wins (German): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
983 | 1021 | 45% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
1126 | 1020 | 65% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
974 | 1002 | 46% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
904 | 1049 | 30% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
1206 | 1191 | 52% | 2016-02-06 | Lost |
1029 | 1099 | 40% | 2014-12-29 | Won |
1237 | 994 | 80% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
1002 | 1026 | 47% | 2010-05-19 | Won |
1020 | 1126 | 35% | 2009-05-12 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1053.4 vs 1058.7 has a 49.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).