Making a Break for It
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (6 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 30
Defender wins (German (SS)): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1190 | 939 | 81% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
1070 | 1010 | 59% | 2021-03-23 | Won |
1049 | 1093 | 44% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
1068 | 1130 | 41% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
1000 | 1068 | 40% | 2018-11-27 | Won |
1068 | 1073 | 49% | 2017-01-28 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1074.2 vs 1052.2 has a 53.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).