Stand And Die
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (27 on the archive and 105 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 63
Defender wins (Chinese): 69
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1258 | 1000 | 82% | 2026-01-30 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2025-09-25 | | Won |
| 978 | 1019 | 44% | 2023-11-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1119 | 34% | 2023-11-19 | | Won |
| 1004 | 1126 | 33% | 2023-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2023-10-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1027 | 46% | 2023-08-16 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1126 | 32% | 2023-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2022-01-27 | | Won |
| 1133 | 965 | 72% | 2020-12-31 | | Won |
| 1315 | 994 | 86% | 2020-12-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 965 | 55% | 2020-01-31 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1252 | 25% | 2019-04-11 | | Won |
| 1090 | 876 | 77% | 2018-09-13 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2012-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2010-10-07 | | Won |
| 1252 | 985 | 82% | 2010-03-14 | | Lost |
| 957 | 951 | 51% | 2009-07-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2008-08-23 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1169 | 46% | 2005-09-17 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 953 | 84% | 2005-09-03 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2003-08-03 | | Won |
| 1317 | 1156 | 72% | 2002-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1159 | 50% | 2001-11-23 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2001-10-02 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1097.3 vs 1037.9 has a 58.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).