The Last VC in Europe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (11 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 39
Defender wins (British): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1090 | 876 | 77% | 2018-05-28 | | Won |
| 901 | 1252 | 12% | 2018-04-02 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2018-03-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2016-06-26 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1167 | 46% | 2008-08-05 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2003-03-15 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2001-04-07 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-03-21 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1269 | 34% | 1996-10-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1069.5 vs 1090.7 has a 46.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).