The Last VC in Europe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (11 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 39
Defender wins (British): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1062 | 876 | 74% | 2018-05-28 | | Won |
| 901 | 1230 | 13% | 2018-04-02 | | Lost |
| 960 | 1000 | 44% | 2018-03-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2016-06-26 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1183 | 43% | 2008-08-05 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2003-03-15 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2001-04-07 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-03-21 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1269 | 38% | 1996-10-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1060.7 vs 1090.1 has a 45.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).