Scotch on the Rocks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (13 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 44
Defender wins (German): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 909 | 968 | 42% | 2025-03-30 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2019-05-28 | Won |
| 1216 | 1094 | 67% | 2018-07-19 | Won |
| 1083 | 876 | 77% | 2018-04-17 | Won |
| 1051 | 876 | 73% | 2018-04-17 | Won |
| 893 | 1216 | 13% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1219 | 39% | 2016-12-26 | Lost |
| 613 | 878 | 18% | 2016-09-22 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1066 | 64% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 990 | 986 | 51% | 2013-06-15 | Lost |
| 777 | 1140 | 11% | 2001-09-18 | Won |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 1997-08-01 | Won |
| 1109 | 982 | 68% | 1996-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 992.6 vs 1011.3 has a 47.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).