Scotch on the Rocks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (British): 8
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 877 | 968 | 37% | 2025-03-30 | | Won |
| 847 | 1000 | 29% | 2019-05-28 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1000 | 78% | 2018-07-19 | | Won |
| 1062 | 876 | 74% | 2018-04-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 876 | 67% | 2018-04-17 | | Won |
| 893 | 1218 | 13% | 2018-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1219 | 39% | 2016-12-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 892 | 65% | 2016-09-22 | | Lost |
| 1230 | 1000 | 79% | 2014-11-11 | | Won |
| 990 | 921 | 60% | 2013-06-15 | | Lost |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2001-09-18 | | Won |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 1997-08-01 | | Won |
| 1167 | 982 | 74% | 1996-09-24 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1019 vs 1007.2 has a 51.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).