Scotch on the Rocks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (11 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 32
Defender wins (German): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 880 | 848 | 55% | 2019-05-28 | Won |
| 1214 | 1097 | 66% | 2018-07-19 | Won |
| 1008 | 879 | 68% | 2018-04-17 | Won |
| 1014 | 879 | 69% | 2018-04-17 | Won |
| 890 | 1214 | 13% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1310 | 28% | 2016-12-26 | Lost |
| 613 | 881 | 18% | 2016-09-22 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1065 | 61% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 991 | 927 | 59% | 2013-06-15 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 1997-08-01 | Won |
| 1119 | 959 | 72% | 1996-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1008.7 vs 1005.4 has a 50.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).