Riding the Coattails
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (17 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Slovak): 41
Defender wins (Polish): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2024-10-07 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1119 | 56% | 2020-11-07 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-05-09 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 969 | 81% | 2014-12-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1431 | 8% | 2014-11-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2012-04-22 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1151 | 49% | 2012-04-21 | | Won |
| 1141 | 961 | 74% | 2011-02-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2010-09-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2009-04-25 | | Lost |
| 1027 | 1036 | 49% | 2008-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1209 | 26% | 2008-08-08 | | Won |
| 982 | 1045 | 41% | 2004-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1317 | 26% | 2004-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1317 | 26% | 2004-06-06 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1209 | 27% | 2004-04-17 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2004-03-30 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1052.1 vs 1123.3 has a 39.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).