First Crack at Hellzapoppin' Ridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (11 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (Japanese): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 1113 | 53% | 2021-07-18 | Won |
| 1051 | 994 | 58% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 1138 | 973 | 72% | 2019-01-21 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1210 | 50% | 2018-09-05 | Won |
| 1001 | 1131 | 32% | 2016-09-05 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1042 | 63% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
| 1150 | 862 | 84% | 2008-05-02 | Won |
| 1263 | 1031 | 79% | 2007-10-02 | Won |
| 1003 | 1209 | 23% | 2005-08-01 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1160 | 45% | 2004-07-17 | Lost |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2003-09-25 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1087.6 vs 1078.6 has a 51.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).