A Hotly Contested Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (17 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 34
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1105 | 1127 | 47% | 2021-04-20 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1009 | 70% | 2020-06-30 | Lost |
| 954 | 1203 | 19% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1151 | 46% | 2018-06-14 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1263 | 33% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1142 | 67% | 2016-09-25 | Tied |
| 1102 | 1109 | 49% | 2015-07-19 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1109 | 40% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
| 982 | 1057 | 39% | 2013-07-18 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1039 | 60% | 2012-06-25 | Won |
| 916 | 999 | 38% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1046 | 74% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 978 | 1151 | 27% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1020 | 59% | 2011-03-23 | Won |
| 1091 | 1068 | 53% | 2009-04-26 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1139 | 46% | 2004-10-16 | Lost |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2003-04-30 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1090.5 vs 1079.1 has a 51.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).