Lorraine Series #1: Avril Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (5 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (American): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 916 | 1128 | 23% | 2025-07-11 | Lost |
| 905 | 951 | 43% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 1068 | 914 | 71% | 2009-04-25 | Won |
| 1035 | 1132 | 36% | 2006-12-12 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1063 | 61% | 2004-05-08 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1012.6 vs 1037.6 has a 46.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).