The Forest North of Karachev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (4 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1056 | 981 | 61% | 2019-10-22 | Lost |
1167 | 1023 | 70% | 2011-05-11 | Won |
1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2011-02-10 | Lost |
836 | 987 | 30% | 2008-11-21 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1022 vs 1000.5 has a 53.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).