Par Saint Georges!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (9 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (French): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2026-02-07 | | Lost |
| 980 | 967 | 52% | 2020-09-13 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2015-08-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2014-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2014-06-03 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1145 | 50% | 2012-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1045 | 67% | 2009-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1122 | 1134 | 48% | 2005-01-25 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2001-03-03 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1104.4 vs 1020.4 has a 61.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).