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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (New Zealand / British): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 970 | 50% | 2025-05-22 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1060 | 54% | 2016-06-27 | Lost |
| 986 | 1131 | 30% | 2010-09-24 | Lost |
| 919 | 986 | 40% | 2008-05-30 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1257 | 51% | 2004-09-19 | Won |
| 986 | 913 | 60% | 2001-09-23 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1022 | 86% | 1999-10-29 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1079.6 vs 1048.4 has a 54.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).