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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (New Zealand / British): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1174 | 976 | 76% | 2025-05-22 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1060 | 54% | 2016-06-27 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1131 | 50% | 2010-09-24 | Lost |
| 919 | 1133 | 23% | 2008-05-30 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1257 | 51% | 2004-09-19 | Won |
| 998 | 913 | 62% | 2001-09-23 | Lost |
| 1343 | 1021 | 86% | 1999-10-29 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1131.6 vs 1070.1 has a 58.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).