Seizing the Sittang Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Japanese): 10
Defender wins (Chinese): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1150 | 1006 | 70% | 2026-10-10 | | Won |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2025-04-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2023-09-22 | | Won |
| 992 | 1007 | 48% | 2020-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2014-01-06 | | Won |
| 1108 | 968 | 69% | 2013-11-24 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2013-10-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1183 | 26% | 2012-10-25 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1011 | 57% | 2010-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1103 | 1099 | 51% | 2009-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 728 | 91% | 2009-04-25 | | Won |
| 1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2007-12-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2007-09-27 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1052 | 63% | 2007-09-22 | | Lost |
| 1070 | 1242 | 27% | 2007-08-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2005-04-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2004-12-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1076 | 39% | 2004-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
| 1086 | 938 | 70% | | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1054.1 vs 1033.9 has a 52.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).