Why at Erp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (16 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 44
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1028 | 51% | 2025-09-13 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1037 | 49% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1028 | 986 | 56% | 2018-10-21 | Won |
| 1001 | 1062 | 41% | 2010-03-08 | Won |
| 906 | 994 | 38% | 2008-11-16 | Lost |
| 987 | 1174 | 25% | 2008-07-17 | Lost |
| 927 | 903 | 53% | 2007-11-01 | Won |
| 1274 | 1156 | 66% | 2007-09-09 | Won |
| 1419 | 1172 | 81% | 2007-09-07 | Won |
| 1419 | 1073 | 88% | 2007-03-13 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-05-03 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1053 | 67% | 2006-02-27 | Won |
| 1053 | 1053 | 50% | 2006-02-15 | Won |
| 969 | 1068 | 36% | 2006-01-20 | Lost |
| 1138 | 731 | 91% | 2004-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1085.6 vs 1030.9 has a 57.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).