The Chernichivo Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (15 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 45
Defender wins (German (SS)): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1105 | 1000 | 65% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
| 942 | 1000 | 42% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
| 1094 | 1100 | 49% | 2023-05-08 | Won |
| 954 | 955 | 50% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
| 1258 | 955 | 85% | 2021-12-19 | Won |
| 995 | 1137 | 31% | 2021-10-09 | Lost |
| 1003 | 995 | 51% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1071 | 49% | 2018-06-18 | Won |
| 1012 | 1186 | 27% | 2017-09-07 | Won |
| 997 | 1011 | 48% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1078 | 881 | 76% | 2009-01-12 | Won |
| 1031 | 1016 | 52% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1016 | 1017 | 50% | 2007-05-27 | Lost |
| 1237 | 968 | 82% | 2006-04-22 | Won |
| 1179 | 1098 | 61% | 2005-08-09 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1064.4 vs 1026 has a 55.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).