Searing Soltau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (18 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 41
Defender wins (German (SS)): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1002 | 50% | 2022-07-24 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2022-07-24 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1289 | 30% | 2020-07-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2019-03-09 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 960 | 73% | 2019-03-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2019-02-19 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1040 | 53% | 2017-11-04 | | Won |
| 1101 | 970 | 68% | 2013-10-10 | | Lost |
| 960 | 1134 | 27% | 2013-06-28 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 996 | 60% | 2013-06-28 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1064 | 60% | 2013-05-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1230 | 21% | 2009-03-14 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2006-04-29 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2006-01-01 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2005-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2005-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2005-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2004-06-23 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1078.4 vs 1058.3 has a 52.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).