For Whom the Bells Toll
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (13 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 52
Defender wins (German (SS)): 69
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 992 | 53% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 1209 | 1041 | 72% | 2015-05-30 | Won |
| 959 | 1039 | 39% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1027 | 56% | 2013-11-22 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1228 | 43% | 2007-11-07 | Won |
| 1084 | 1105 | 47% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
| 950 | 1006 | 42% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1423 | 15% | 2007-01-31 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1269 | 37% | 2007-01-28 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1236 | 22% | 2006-06-27 | Won |
| 1068 | 918 | 70% | 2006-06-04 | Won |
| 1155 | 1041 | 66% | 2004-03-19 | Lost |
| 963 | 1173 | 23% | 2004-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1073.7 vs 1115.2 has a 44.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).