For Whom the Bells Toll
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (12 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 65
Defender wins (German (SS)): 55
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1011 | 1002 | 51% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
1218 | 1031 | 75% | 2015-05-30 | Won |
959 | 1058 | 36% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
1067 | 1023 | 56% | 2013-11-22 | Lost |
1180 | 1228 | 43% | 2007-11-07 | Won |
1077 | 1074 | 50% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
1011 | 1004 | 51% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
1114 | 1400 | 16% | 2007-01-31 | Lost |
1119 | 1284 | 28% | 2007-01-28 | Lost |
1043 | 1141 | 36% | 2006-06-27 | Won |
1154 | 1031 | 67% | 2004-03-19 | Lost |
996 | 1119 | 33% | 2004-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1079.1 vs 1116.3 has a 44.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).