Pesky Pachyderms
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (11 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 20
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 1047 | 39% | 2025-12-05 | Won |
| 928 | 1151 | 22% | 2023-10-18 | Lost |
| 1089 | 944 | 70% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1048 | 1113 | 41% | 2021-03-11 | Lost |
| 972 | 1117 | 30% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 1066 | 1230 | 28% | 2007-05-27 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1038 | 55% | 2007-05-27 | Won |
| 1127 | 1097 | 54% | 2006-04-17 | Won |
| 1056 | 948 | 65% | 2006-01-13 | Won |
| 1209 | 1003 | 77% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
| 1108 | 1342 | 21% | 2004-06-23 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1058.3 vs 1093.6 has a 44.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).