Pesky Pachyderms
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (11 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 20
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-12-05 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2023-10-18 | A | Lost |
| 1040 | 932 | 65% | 2021-12-18 | | Won |
| 1048 | 1150 | 36% | 2021-03-11 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2020-02-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1153 | 29% | 2007-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2007-05-27 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1077 | 65% | 2006-04-17 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2006-01-13 | | Won |
| 1209 | 991 | 78% | 2005-06-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2004-06-23 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1056.2 vs 1059.5 has a 49.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).