Pesky Pachyderms
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (10 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1052 | 1052 | 50% | 2025-12-05 | Won |
| 1024 | 1048 | 47% | 2023-10-18 | Lost |
| 1014 | 965 | 57% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1047 | 1203 | 29% | 2021-03-11 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1116 | 35% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 1048 | 1196 | 30% | 2007-05-27 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1266 | 22% | 2007-05-27 | Won |
| 1174 | 1105 | 60% | 2006-04-17 | Won |
| 1054 | 949 | 65% | 2006-01-13 | Won |
| 1208 | 1103 | 65% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1067.8 vs 1100.3 has a 45.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).