Pesky Pachyderms
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (11 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 20
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1047 | 55% | 2025-12-05 | Won |
| 1015 | 1031 | 48% | 2023-10-18 | Lost |
| 1051 | 944 | 65% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1047 | 1076 | 46% | 2021-03-11 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1116 | 34% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 1066 | 1175 | 35% | 2007-05-27 | Lost |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2007-05-27 | Won |
| 1109 | 1056 | 58% | 2006-04-17 | Won |
| 1056 | 948 | 65% | 2006-01-13 | Won |
| 1209 | 1048 | 72% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
| 1109 | 1344 | 21% | 2004-06-23 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1073.5 vs 1069.8 has a 50.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).