Twilight of the Reich
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (10 on the archive and 78 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 41
Defender wins (German): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1000 | 54% | 2024-03-25 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1281 | 17% | 2020-06-30 | Lost |
| 1138 | 930 | 77% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2015-11-12 | Won |
| 1138 | 993 | 70% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1178 | 1016 | 72% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1068 | 1037 | 54% | 2005-11-28 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1068 | 41% | 2005-11-18 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1208 | 33% | 2005-08-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1074.7 vs 1063.2 has a 51.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).