Twilight of the Reich
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (10 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 41
Defender wins (German): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 980 | 1130 | 30% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 868 | 982 | 34% | 2024-03-25 | Lost |
| 945 | 1256 | 14% | 2020-06-30 | Lost |
| 1058 | 975 | 62% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
| 1130 | 980 | 70% | 2015-11-12 | Won |
| 1140 | 993 | 70% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1236 | 1017 | 78% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1068 | 1037 | 54% | 2005-11-28 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1068 | 41% | 2005-11-18 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1209 | 28% | 2005-08-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1047.2 vs 1064.7 has a 47.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).