Husum Hotfoot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (British): 8
Defender wins (German (SS)): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 897 | 70% | 2025-04-18 | Won |
| 890 | 906 | 48% | 2025-04-18 | Won |
| 1039 | 1043 | 49% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 1116 | 1172 | 42% | 2023-01-11 | Won |
| 1147 | 1122 | 54% | 2022-11-26 | Lost |
| 988 | 1043 | 42% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
| 940 | 1116 | 27% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 982 | 948 | 55% | 2017-12-07 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1020 | 59% | 2017-05-21 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1109 | 76% | 2017-01-04 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1100 | 40% | 2015-11-03 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1008 | 51% | 2015-05-06 | Won |
| 1412 | 979 | 92% | 2008-05-17 | Won |
| 1111 | 1126 | 48% | 2008-02-08 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1025 | 54% | 2006-11-15 | Lost |
| 897 | 1040 | 31% | 2006-03-10 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1170 | 57% | 2005-02-27 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2003-04-01 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1000 | 65% | 2003-01-01 | Lost |
| 1122 | 963 | 71% | 2002-12-07 | Won |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1082.2 vs 1048.4 has a 54.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).