Burn Gurkha Burn!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (Japanese): 15
Defender wins (Gurkha): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1030 | 41% | 2025-08-15 | Lost |
| 1035 | 952 | 62% | 2024-05-16 | Won |
| 995 | 1083 | 38% | 2024-04-25 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1097 | 55% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 1306 | 1095 | 77% | 2021-10-24 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1143 | 43% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
| 1263 | 1186 | 61% | 2020-10-17 | Won |
| 1052 | 1120 | 40% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1031 | 1158 | 32% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
| 968 | 1159 | 25% | 2017-10-20 | Won |
| 1071 | 968 | 64% | 2015-05-02 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1070 | 50% | 2013-12-05 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1129 | 34% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 885 | 1013 | 32% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1097 | 57% | 2013-08-09 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1060 | 52% | 2013-02-25 | Lost |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-01-29 | Won |
| 1263 | 1244 | 53% | 2009-06-29 | Won |
| 970 | 1060 | 37% | 2007-12-30 | Won |
| 951 | 1038 | 38% | 2007-11-09 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1140 | 39% | 2007-11-02 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1214 | 57% | 2007-10-04 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1140 | 49% | 2007-10-03 | Won |
| 952 | 1107 | 29% | 2007-06-07 | Lost |
| 1107 | 952 | 71% | 2007-06-06 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1084 | 43% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1259 | 32% | 2007-01-26 | Won |
| 1060 | 1123 | 41% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-11-07 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-11-01 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1021 | 70% | 2004-06-06 | Lost |
| 883 | 984 | 36% | 2004-03-27 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1127 | 50% | 2004-03-06 | Won |
| 1156 | 1113 | 56% | 2003-12-24 | Won |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2003-03-28 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1084.2 vs 1077.4 has a 50.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).