Burn Gurkha Burn!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (Japanese): 15
Defender wins (Gurkha): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1072 | 35% | 2025-08-15 | Lost |
| 1040 | 979 | 59% | 2024-05-16 | Won |
| 975 | 1058 | 38% | 2024-04-25 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1032 | 65% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 1307 | 1095 | 77% | 2021-10-24 | Lost |
| 979 | 1131 | 29% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
| 1263 | 1187 | 61% | 2020-10-17 | Won |
| 1052 | 1123 | 40% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1040 | 1158 | 34% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
| 1024 | 1157 | 32% | 2017-10-20 | Won |
| 1071 | 969 | 64% | 2015-05-02 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1068 | 50% | 2013-12-05 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1117 | 34% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 878 | 1013 | 31% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1131 | 979 | 71% | 2013-08-09 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1058 | 52% | 2013-02-25 | Lost |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-01-29 | Won |
| 1263 | 1243 | 53% | 2009-06-29 | Won |
| 969 | 1068 | 36% | 2007-12-30 | Won |
| 951 | 908 | 56% | 2007-11-09 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1140 | 39% | 2007-11-02 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1223 | 56% | 2007-10-04 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1140 | 49% | 2007-10-03 | Won |
| 979 | 1076 | 36% | 2007-06-07 | Lost |
| 1076 | 979 | 64% | 2007-06-06 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1097 | 41% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1259 | 38% | 2007-01-26 | Won |
| 1068 | 1123 | 42% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-11-07 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-11-01 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1041 | 67% | 2004-06-06 | Lost |
| 883 | 950 | 40% | 2004-03-27 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1173 | 44% | 2004-03-06 | Won |
| 1164 | 1198 | 45% | 2003-12-24 | Won |
| 1140 | 726 | 92% | 2003-03-28 | Won |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1080.9 vs 1070.4 has a 51.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).