Flaming of the Guard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (British): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1019 | 1073 | 42% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1045 | 48% | 2023-09-17 | Tied |
| 1138 | 1013 | 67% | 2018-03-01 | Won |
| 1099 | 965 | 68% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
| 1053 | 1178 | 33% | 2011-09-27 | Won |
| 922 | 945 | 47% | 2007-07-01 | Won |
| 1057 | 1034 | 53% | 2006-10-31 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1293 | 18% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1085 | 48% | 2004-06-26 | Won |
| 1138 | 949 | 75% | 2003-06-07 | Won |
| 831 | 1177 | 12% | 2002-11-27 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 2002-03-07 | Won |
| 827 | 1149 | 14% | 2001-10-28 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1032 | 65% | 2001-10-04 | Won |
| 1095 | 1083 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1042.1 vs 1078.9 has a 44.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).